Freitag, 16. Juni 2023

Declining Births in China

In East Asia they have made an export led growth model which is very narrowly based. The west was primarily internally based with small and medium sized companies. One can imagine Korea without Samsung or Japan without Toyota, Sony and co. I think East Asia will have to completely reorient itself to preindustrial and internal needs. Mass speculative housing construction is a thing in China, like stock market and Bitcoin in the USA. Generally speaking once a people focuses on things beyond their actual daily needs to acheive more abstract goals then they slowly lose sight of reality. In America the military expansionism, deficit spending has allowed the country's infrastructure to deteriorate. Apparently in Europe an obsession with net zero will lead to deindustrialization. Following ideological goals over decades results in distortions which can lead to collapse. Modernism has accelerated this trend and made it more easy to acheive. Take Chat GPT for example. They say that this could rapidly disintegrate the job market. One could say that I am severely traditional but take the Amish approach, they look at any new technology and consider the downstream consequences ten ways to Sunday and then perhaps integrate it lightly into their old ways of doing things, but very cautiously, making sure life is not disrupted. The law of unintended consequences here. In 1800 vaccines, public hygiene came and we had a population explosion, eventually long life spans, massive overpopulation with high percentages of very old people. Extremely hygienic lifestyles for example lead to massive rise in allergies, lack of immunity. Cars and suburbanism led to social isolation. Internet connectivity led to high teen girl suicide rates. Going back further the printing press led to literacy, mass public discussions, propaganda on all sides and civil strife, wars. 
 

Keine Kommentare:

Kommentar veröffentlichen